What's the difference between an assumption and insight?

How do I turn an assumption into an insight?

The amount of proof required to validate an assumption is tied to the risk involved in the specific decision. Risk is a combination of two factors:

How much proof do I need to make my decision?

Decisions can be modeled to reveal the amount of proof necessary to increase the chances of a positive outcome.

Try plotting your prospective decision on a failure x uncertainty graph.

                *Try plotting your prospective decision on a failure x uncertainty graph.*

So I don’t always need proof?

https://embed.notionlytics.com/wt/ZXlKd1lXZGxTV1FpT2lKaFpUWTVZbVU1TXpBM1l6UTBZVEkwT1dVMU5UZ3lNR1JpT1RrME5HUTFZaUlzSW5kdmNtdHpjR0ZqWlZSeVlXTnJaWEpKWkNJNklqbHpjVk52YW1nMU4zbDZXV1p3UjJ4QlZVSm1JbjA9